I.
America
in the Global Economy |
|
A. |
The Rise of the European Union and
China |
|
|
1. |
Since the early 1990 a “multi-polar”
world has emerged—with centers of power in Europe,
Japan,
China, and the
United States, along with rising regional powers
such as
India
and
Brazil
. |
|
|
2. |
In 1992, the nations of Western Europe
created the European Union (EU) and moved toward the creation of a single
federal state, somewhat like the
United States. By the end of the
1990s, the European Union embraced more than twenty countries and 450 million
people and accounted for a fifth of all global imports and exports. In 2002,
the EU introduced a single currency, the euro, which soon rivaled the dollar
and the Japanese yen as a major international currency. |
|
|
3. |
Militarily, however, the EU remained a
secondary power. European countries preferred social programs to armies and
posed no military challenge to the
United States. |
|
|
4. |
Between 2000 and 2008,
China quadrupled its gross domestic product (GDP).
Economic growth rates during those years were consistently near 10
percent—higher than the
United
States
achieved during its periods of
furious economic growth in the 1950s and 1960s. |
|
|
5. |
China
could hardly have put up such
impressive numbers without its symbiotic relationship with American consumers. It
embraced capitalism, and its factories produced inexpensive products for
export, which Americans eagerly purchased—everything from children’s toys and
television sets to clothing, household appliances, and video games. Such a
relationship is possible because
China
has deliberately kept its currency weak against the American dollar, ensuring
that its exports remain cheap in the
United States. |
|
|
6. |
Beneficial to American consumers in the
short run, the implications of this relationship for the future may be less
promising. As more and more goods that Americans buy are produced in
China
, the manufacturing base in the
United States
continues to shrink, costing jobs and adversely affecting communities. Additionally,
China
has kept its currency low against the dollar primarily by purchasing American
debt.China
now owns nearly
25 percent of total
U.S.
debt, more than any other nation. Many economists believe that it is unwise to
allow a single country to wield so much influence over the
U.S.
currency supply. |
|
B. |
An Era of Globalization |
|
|
1. |
The end of the Cold War shattered
barriers that had restrained international trade and impeded capitalist
development of vast areas of the world. New communications systems were
shrinking the world’s physical spaces to a degree unimaginable at the beginning
of the twentieth century. |
|
|
2. |
Global financial markets became
integrated to an unprecedented extent, allowing investment capital to “flow”
into and out of nations and around the world in a matter of moments.
International organizations set the rules for capitalism’s worldwide expansion.
During the final decades of the Cold War, the leading capitalist industrial
nations formed the Group of Seven (or G7) to manage global economic policy.
Russia
joined the group in 1997. |
|
|
3. |
The G8 nations—the
United States,
Britain,
Germany,
France,
Italy,
Japan,
Canada, and
Russia—largely controlled the major
international financial organizations. |
|
|
4. |
As globalization accelerated, so did
the integration of regional economies. To offset the economic clout of the
European bloc, in 1993 the
United States,
Canada, and
Mexico
signed the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). This treaty envisioned
the eventual creation of a free-trade zone covering all of
North
America. |
|
|
5. |
The capitalist nations of
Japan
,
South Korea
,
Taiwan
, and
Singapore
consulted on economic policy; as
China
developed a quasi-capitalist economy and became a major exporter of
manufactures, its Communist-led government joined their deliberations. |
|
|
6. |
Globalization was driven by more than a
quest for new markets. Corporations sought ever-cheaper sources of labor. Many
American multinational corporations closed their factories in the
United States
and “outsourced” manufacturing
jobs to plants in
Mexico,
Eastern Europe, and especially
Asia. |
|
|
7. |
As trade restrictions among nations
began to fall in the 1980s and 1990s, so did restrictions on investment. One of
the principal differences between this new era of globalization and previous
eras has been the opening of national financial and currency markets to
investment from around the world. Global financial integration has been a
hallmark of our time. Financial deregulation led to spectacular profits for
investors but produced a more fragile, crash-prone global economy. |
|
C. |
The New Technology |
|
|
1. |
Computers, cellular phones, the
Internet and World Wide Web, the iPod, and other electronic devices altered
work, leisure, and access to knowledge in stunning ways. Like unimpeded trade
and advances in communications, these personal technologies made the world
smaller and more global. |
|
|
2. |
During the 1990s, personal computers grew
even more significant with the spread of the Internet and the World Wide Web.
Like the computer itself, the Internet was the product of military-based
research. During the 1970s, the Pentagon set up a decentralized system of
hundreds of computers, an “internet” designed to preserve military
communications in case of a Soviet nuclear attack. But it was soon used by
government scientists, academic specialists, and military contractors to
exchange electronic text messages. By the 1980s, the Internet had spread to
universities, businesses, and the general public. |
|
|
3. |
The debut in 1991 of the graphics-based
World Wide Web, a collection of servers that allowed access to millions of
documents, pictures, and other materials, enhanced the popular appeal and
commercial possibilities of the Internet. By 2009, 75 percent of all Americans
and more than one billion people worldwide used the Internet to send messages
and view information. Businesses used the World Wide Web to sell their products
and services; e-commerce transactions totaled $114 billion in 2003, $172
billion in 2005, and well over $200 billion by 2008. The Web proved instantly
democratic, providing ordinary people with easy access to knowledge. |
|
|
4. |
The 1980s saw the introduction of
videocassette recorders (VCRs), compact disc (CD) players, cellular telephones,
and inexpensive fax machines. By 2000, cameras took digital pictures that could
be stored and transmitted on computers, and digital video discs (DVDs) became
the newest technology for viewing movies. Wireless telephones, which became
available in the 1980s, ignited a communications revolution. |
|
|
5. |
By the first decade of the twenty-first
century, Americans had come to live in a world saturated with instantaneous
electronic information. This total media environment left one of the most
significant forms of media of the last four centuries struggling to survive:
newspapers. |
II. Politics and Partisanship in a New Era |
|
A. |
An Increasingly Plural Society |
|
|
1. |
Demographers
predict that at some point between 2040 and 2050 the
United States
will become a
“majority-minority” nation: no single ethnic or racial group will be in the
numerical majority. This is already the case in
California, where in 2010 African Americans,
Latinos, and Asians together constituted a majority of the state’s residents. |
|
|
2. |
An extraordinary
inflow of immigrants was the unintended result of the Immigration and
Nationality Act of 1965, which eliminated the 1924 quota system that favored
Northern Europe. |
|
|
3. |
The legislation
also included provisions that eased the entry of immigrants who were
professionals, scientists, and artists “of exceptional ability,” or who
possessed skills in high demand in the
United States. Finally, a provision
with far-reaching implications was included in the new law: immediate family
members of those already legally resident in the
United States
were admitted outside
of the total numerical limit. |
|
|
4. |
Most new immigrants arrived under the
terms of the 1965 law. But those who did not—and became known as “illegal
aliens”—stirred political controversy. Significantly, state governments led the
efforts to deal with illegal immigration. In 1986,
California voters overwhelmingly supported
Proposition 63, which established English as the state’s official language;
seventeen other states followed suit. |
|
|
5. |
The concept of multiculturalism emerged
to define social diversity. It suggested Americans were not a single people
into whom others melted but comprised a diverse set of ethnic and racial groups
living and working together. A shared set of public values held the society
together. Critics, however, charged that multiculturalism perpetuated ethnic
chauvinism and conferred preferential treatment on minority groups. |
|
|
6. |
Conservatives argued that such
governmental programs were deeply flawed, because they promoted “reverse
discrimination” against white men and resulted in the selection and promotion
of less-qualified applicants for jobs and educational advancement. |
|
|
7. |
The
U.S.
Supreme Court spoke loudest on
the subject. In two parallel 2003 cases, the Court invalidated one affirmative
action plan at the
University
of
Michigan but allowed
racial preference policies that promoted a “diverse” student body. Thus,
diversity became the law of the land, the constitutionally acceptable basis for
affirmative action. The policy had been narrowed but preserved. |
|
B. |
Clashes over “Family Values” |
|
|
1. |
New Right
conservatives claimed that liberalism had eroded respect for marriage and what
they had called “family values.” They pointed to the 40 percent rate of divorce
among whites and the nearly 60 percent rate of out-of-wedlock pregnancies among
African Americans. |
|
|
2. |
Abortion was central to the battles between
feminists and religious conservatives and a defining issue between Democrats
and Republicans. Feminists, who described themselves as “pro-choice,” viewed
the issue from the perspective of the pregnant woman; they argued that the right
to a legal, safe abortion was crucial to her control over her body and life.
Conversely, religious conservatives, who pronounced themselves “pro-life,”
viewed abortion from the perspective of the unborn fetus and claimed that its
rights trumped those of the living mother. |
|
|
3. |
By the 1980s, fundamentalist Protestants had assumed leadership of the
antiabortion movement, which became increasingly confrontational and
politically powerful. In 1987, religious activist Randall Terry founded
Operation Rescue, which mounted protests outside abortion clinics and harassed
their staffs and clients. Antiabortion activists also won state laws that
limited public funding for abortions, required parental notification before
minors could obtain abortions, and mandated waiting periods before any woman
could undergo an abortion procedure. |
|
|
4. |
The issue of homosexuality stirred
equally deep passions. As more gay men and women “came out of the closet” they
demanded legal protections from discrimination in housing, education, and
employment. Public opinion about these demands varied by region, but by the
1990s, many cities and states had indeed banned discrimination on the basis of
sexual orientation. |
|
|
5. |
Gay rights groups also sought legal
rights for same-sex couples that were akin to those enjoyed by married
heterosexuals. Many of the most prominent national gay rights organizations
focused on full marriage equality. |
|
|
6. |
The Religious Right had long condemned
homosexuality as morally wrong. Public opinion remained sharply divided. In
1992,
Colorado
voters approved an amendment to the state constitution that prevented local
governments from enacting ordinances protecting gays and lesbians—a measure
that the Supreme Court overturned as unconstitutional. That same year
Oregon voters defeated a
more radical initiative that would have prevented the state from using any
funds “to promote, encourage or facilitate” homosexuality. |
|
|
7. |
In 1998, Congress passed the Defense of
Marriage Act, which allowed states to refuse to recognize gay marriages or
civil unions formed in other jurisdictions. |
|
|
8. |
These divisive “rights” issues
increasingly came before the U.S. Supreme Court. Decisions in Webster v.
Reproductive Health Services (1989), and Planned Parenthood of
Southeastern Pennsylvania v. Casey (1992) limited abortion rights, but Lawrence v.
Texas (2003) limited the power of states
to prohibit private homosexual activity between consenting adults. |
|
C. |
The
Clinton Presidency,
1993–2001 |
|
|
1. |
In 1992, Clinton, the governor of
Arkansas, styled himself
a “New Democrat” who would bring “Reagan Democrats” back to the party. At only
forty-six, he was young, energetic, ambitious, and a policy “wonk”—extraordinarily
well informed about the details of public policy. |
|
|
2. |
To win the Democratic nomination in
1992,
Clinton
had to survive charges that he embodied the permissive social values that conservatives
associated with the 1960s. President George H. W. Bush won renomination over
his lone opponent, the conservative columnist Pat Buchanan. The Democrats mounted
an aggressive campaign that focused on
Clinton’s
domestic agenda: he promised a tax cut for the middle classes, universal health
insurance, and a reduction of the huge Republican budget deficit. |
|
|
3. |
For his part, Bush could not overcome
voters’ discontent with the weak economy and conservatives’ disgust at his tax
hikes. He received only 37 percent of the popular vote as millions of
Republicans cast their ballots for independent businessman Ross Perot, who won
more votes (19 percent) than any independent candidate since Theodore Roosevelt
in 1912. With 43 percent of the vote,
Clinton
won the election. |
|
|
4. |
As a self-proclaimed New Democrat,
Clinton tried to steer a
middle course through the nation’s increasingly divisive partisanship.
Clinton had notable
successes as well as spectacular failures pursuing this course.
Clinton’s proposed health care
system of “managed competition” failed and forty million Americans remained
without health coverage. |
|
|
5. |
More successful was
Clinton’s plan to reduce the budget deficits
of the Reagan-Bush presidencies. In 1993, he secured a five-year budget package
that would reduce the federal deficit by $500 billion. By 1998,
Clinton’s fiscal policies
had balanced the federal budget and begun to pay down the federal debt. As fiscal
sanity returned to
Washington,
the economy boomed, thanks in part to the low interest rates stemming from
deficit reduction. |
|
|
6. |
But those economic
results lay in the future. More immediately, the midterm election of 1994
confirmed that the
Clinton
presidency had not produced an electoral realignment: Conservatives still had a
working majority. In a well-organized campaign, Republicans gained a majority
in the House for the first time since 1954, and took control of the Senate. Leading the Republican charge was
Representative Newt Gingrich of
Georgia
,
who revived calls for significant tax cuts, reductions in welfare programs,
anticrime initiatives, and cutbacks in federal regulations. |
|
|
7. |
In response to the massive Democratic
losses in 1994,
Clinton
moved to the right. Claiming in 1996 that “the era of big government is over,” he avoided expansive social welfare proposals for the remainder of his
presidency and sought Republican support for a centrist, New Democrat program.
The signal piece of that program was reforming the welfare system. |
|
|
8. |
Even with the
concession on welfare,
Clinton
could not escape an opposition deeply hostile to his presidency. Following a
relatively easy victory in the 1996 election, his second term unraveled when a
sex scandal led to his impeachment.
Clinton
denied having had a sexual affair with Monica Lewinsky, a former White House
intern. Independent prosecutor Kenneth Starr, a conservative Republican,
concluded that
Clinton
had lied and obstructed justice, and that these actions were grounds for
impeachment. |
|
|
9. |
Historically, Americans have usually defined
“high crimes and misdemeanors”—the constitutional standard for impeachment—as
involving a serious abuse of public trust that endangered the republic. In
1998, conservative Republicans favored a much lower standard because they did
not accept
Clinton’s
legitimacy as president. They vowed to oust him from office. |
|
|
10. |
On December 19,
the House of Representatives narrowly approved two articles of impeachment.
Only a minority of Americans supported the House’s action. Lacking public
support, Republicans in the Senate fell well short of the two-thirds majority
they needed to remove the president. |
|
D. |
Post–Cold War Foreign Policy |
|
|
1. |
Among the challenges for the
United States
was the question of whether to
support the admission of some of the new European and Central Asian states
formed in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union, such as
Ukraine,
Georgia,
and
Armenia,
into the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). Many observers believed
that extending the NATO alliance into
Eastern Europe
would damage U.S.-Russian relations. |
|
|
2. |
By 2010, twelve new nations—most of
them in
Eastern Europe, and ten of them former
members of the Warsaw Pact—had been admitted to the NATO alliance. Two of the
new NATO states,
Slovenia
and
Croatia, emerged from an
intractable set of conflicts that led to the dissolution of the Communist
nation of
Yugoslavia. |
|
|
3. |
In 1992, the heavily Muslim
province of
Bosnia and Herzegovina declared its
independence, but its substantial Serbian population refused to live in a
Muslim-run multiethnic state. Slobodan Milosevic, the uncompromising Serbian
nationalist, launched a ruthless campaign of “ethnic cleansing” to create a
Serbian state. |
|
|
4. |
In November 1995,
Clinton organized a NATO-led bombing campaign
and peace-keeping effort, backed by American troops, that ended the Serbs’ vicious expansionist drive. |
|
|
5. |
Four years later, a new crisis emerged
in Kosovo, another province of the
Serbian-dominated
Federal
Republic
of
Yugoslavia.
Again led by the
United
States
, NATO intervened with aircraft
strikes and military forces to preserve Kosovo’s autonomy. By 2008, seven newly
independent nations had emerged from the wreckage of
Yugoslavia’s demise. |
|
|
6. |
No post–Cold War development proved more challenging than the emergence of
radical Islamic movements in the
Middle East.
Clinton had inherited from President George H. W. Bush a
defeated
Iraq
and a sizeable
military force in
Saudi
Arabia. American fighter jets left Saudi Arabian
air bases to fly regular missions over
Iraq, enforcing a “no-fly zone” where Iraqi planes were forbidden, and bombing select targets. |
|
|
7. |
Angered by the continued
U.S.
presence in
Saudi Arabia, Muslim
fundamentalists soon began targeting Americans. In 1993, radical Muslim
immigrants set off a bomb in the
World
Trade
Center
in
New York City,
killing six people and injuring more than a thousand. Five years later, Muslin
terrorists bombed
U.S.
embassies in
Kenya
and
Tanzania, and in 2000 they bombed the American
warship, the USS Cole, in
Yemen
. |
|
|
8. |
The
Clinton administration knew these attacks
were the work of Al Qaeda, a network of radical Islamic terrorists organized by
the wealthy Saudi exile Osama bin Laden. In February 1998, the year of the
embassy bombings, bin Laden issued a call for holy war—in which it was said to
be the duty of every Muslim to kill Americans and their allies. |
|
|
9. |
After the embassy attacks,
Clinton ordered air strikes on Al Qaeda bases in
Afghanistan,
but the strikes failed to disrupt this growing terrorist network, and when
Clinton left office, the
CIA, the
State Department, and the Pentagon were well aware of the potential threat
posed by bin Laden’s followers. |
III.
Into a New Century |
|
A. |
The Ascendance of George W. Bush |
|
|
1. |
The election of 2000 would join those
of 1876 and 1960 as the closest and most contested in American history. Gore
won the popular vote, amassing 50.9 million votes to Bush’s 50.4 million but
fell short in the Electoral College, 267 to 271. Consumer- and labor-rights
activist Ralph Nader ran as the Green Party candidate and drew away precious
votes in key states that certainly would have carried Gore to victory. |
|
|
2. |
Late on election night, the vote tally
in
Florida
gave Bush the narrowest of victories. As was their legal prerogative, the
Democrats demanded hand recounts in several counties. A month of tumult
followed, until the U.S. Supreme Court, voting strictly along
conservative/liberal lines, ordered the recount stopped and let Bush’s victory
stand. Recounting ballots without a consistent standard to determine “voter
intent,” the Court reasoned, violated the rights of Floridian voters under the
Fourteenth Amendment’s equal protection clause. |
|
|
3. |
As if acknowledging the frailty of their
argument, the Court declared that Bush v. Gore was not to be regarded as
precedent. But by making a transparently partisan decision, Justice John Paul
Stevens warned in a dissenting opinion, the conservative majority undermined
“the Nation’s confidence in the judge as an impartial guardian of the rule of
law.” |
|
|
4. |
Bush also brought into the
administration his campaign advisor, Karl Rove, whose advice made for an
exceptionally politicized White House. Rove foreclosed the easygoing centrism
of Bush the campaigner by arguing that a permanent Republican majority could be
built on the party’s conservative base. Bush’s vice president, the
uncompromising conservative Richard Cheney, became, with Bush’s consent,
virtually a co-president. On Capitol Hill, Rove’s hard line was reinforced by
Tom DeLay, the House majority leader, who in 1995 had declared “all-out war” on
the Democrats. |
|
|
5. |
The domestic issue that most engaged
President Bush, as it had Ronald Reagan, was taxes. Bush’s Economic Growth and
Tax Relief Act of 2001 slashed income tax rates, extended the earned income
credit for the poor, and phased out the estate tax by 2010. |
|
|
6. |
A second round of cuts in 2003 targeted
dividend income and capital gains. His signature cuts skewed the distribution
of tax benefits upwards. Bush had pushed far beyond any postwar president, even
Reagan, in slashing federal taxes. |
|
|
7. |
Critics warned that such massive tax
cuts would plunge the federal government into debt. By 2006, federal
expenditures had jumped 33 percent, at a faster clip than under any president
since Lyndon Johnson. Huge increases in health-care costs were the main
culprit. Two of the largest federal programs, Medicare and Medicaid—health care
for the elderly and the poor, respectively—could not contain run-away medical
costs. |
|
|
8. |
Midway through Bush’s second term, the
national debt stood at over $8 trillion—much of it owned by foreign investors,
who also financed the nation’s huge trade deficit. On top of that, staggering
Social Security and Medicare obligations were coming due for retiring baby
boomers. |
|
|
9. |
On September 11, 2001, nineteen Islamic
terrorists from Al Qaeda hijacked four commercial jets and flew two of them
into
New York City’s
World
Trade
Center, destroying its
twin towers and killing over 2,900 people. A third plane crashed into the
Pentagon, near
Washington,
D.C. The fourth crashed in
Pennsylvania when the passengers fought back
and thwarted the hijackers. |
|
|
10. |
As an outburst of patriotism swept the
United States,
George W. Bush proclaimed a “war on terror” and vowed to carry the battle to Al
Qaeda. Operating out of
Afghanistan,
where they had been harbored by the fundamentalist Taliban regime, the elusive
Al Qaeda briefly offered a clear target. The
United States
attacked by deploying
military advisors and supplies that bolstered anti-Taliban rebel forces. While
Afghani allies carried the ground war, American planes rained destruction on
the enemy. |
|
|
11. |
By early 2002, this lethal combination
had ousted the Taliban regime, destroyed Al Qaeda’s training camps, and killed
or captured many of its operatives. Al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden retreated
to a mountain redoubt and evidentally bought off the local war lords and
escaped over the border into
Pakistan. |
|
|
12. |
On the domestic side, Bush declared
the terrorist threat too big to be contained by ordinary law-enforcement means.
He wanted the government’s powers of domestic surveillance placed on a wartime
footing. With little debate, Congress passed the USA Patriot Act, granting the
administration sweeping authority to monitor citizens and apprehend suspected
terrorists. |
|
|
13. |
On the international front, Bush used
the war on terror as the premise for a new policy of preventive war. Under
international law, only an imminent threat justified a nation’s right to strike
first. Now, under the Bush doctrine, the
United States
reserved for itself
the right to act in “anticipatory self-defense.” President Bush singled out
Iran,
North Korea,
and
Iraq
—“an
axis of evil”—as the targeted states. |
|
|
14. |
Officials in the Pentagon regarded
Iraq
as unfinished business, left over from the
Gulf War of 1991 and saw in
Iraq
an opportunity to unveil
America’s
supposed mission to democratize the world. The democratizing effect would
spread across the
Middle East, toppling or
reforming other unpopular Arab regimes and stabilizing the region. That, in
turn, would secure the Middle East’s oil supply, whose fragility Saddam’s
invasion of
Kuwait
had made all too clear. It was the oil, in the end, that was of vital interest
to the
United States. |
|
|
15. |
Insisting that
Iraq
constituted a “grave and
gathering danger” and ignoring its failure to secure a legitimizing UN
resolution, Bush invaded in March 2003.
America’s
one major ally in the rush to war was
Great Britain. Relations with
France
and
Germany
became poisonous. Even
neighboring
Mexico
and
Canada
condemned the invasion, and
Turkey, a key military ally, refused transit
permission, ruining the army’s plan for a northern thrust into
Iraq. The
Arab world exploded in anti-American demonstrations. |
|
|
16. |
Within three weeks, American troops had taken the
Iraqi capital. The regime collapsed, and its leaders went into hiding (Saddam
Hussein was captured nine months later). However, the Pentagon had made no
provision for postconflict operations. Thousands of poor Iraqis looted everything
they could get their hands on, shattering the infrastructure of
Iraq
’s
cities. |
|
|
17. |
In the midst of this turmoil, an insurgency
began, sparked by Sunni Muslims who had dominated
Iraq
under Saddam’s Baathist
regime. The Shiite majority at first welcomed the Americans, but extremist
Shiite elements soon turned hostile, and
U.S.
forces found themselves under
fire from both sides. With the borders unguarded, Al Qaeda supporters flocked
in from all over the
Middle East, eager to do
battle with the infidel Americans. |
|
|
18. |
As the 2004 presidential election
approached, Rove, Bush’s top advisor, theorized that stirring the culture wars
and emphasizing patriotism and Bush’s war on terror would mobilize
conservatives and further entrench the Republican Party as the dominant power
in
Washington.
Rove encouraged activists to place antigay initiatives on the ballot in key
states to draw conservative voters to the polls. |
|
|
19. |
The Democratic nominee, Senator John
Kerry of
Massachusetts, was a
Vietnam
hero, twice wounded and decorated for
bravery—in contrast to the president, who had spent the
Vietnam
years comfortably in the
Texas Air National Guard. But when Kerry returned from service in
Vietnam,
he had joined the antiwar group, Vietnam Veterans Against the War, and in 1971
had delivered a blistering critique of the war to the Senate Armed Services
Committee. In the logic of the culture wars, this made him vulnerable to
charges of being weak and unpatriotic. A sudden onslaught of slick television
ads by a group calling itself Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, falsely charging
that Kerry had lied to win his medals, fatally undercut his advantage. |
|
|
20. |
Bush beat Kerry, with 286 electoral
votes to Kerry’s 252. He was no longer a minority president and had won narrow
yet clear popular majority. |
|
B. |
Violence
Abroad and Economic Collapse at Home |
|
|
1. |
George Bush’s
second term was defined by crisis management. In 2005, Hurricane Katrina—one of
the deadliest hurricanes in the nation’s history—devastated
New Orleans. |
|
|
2. |
The run of crises did not abate after
Katrina. Increasing violence and a rising insurgency in
Iraq
made the war there even more unpopular in
the
United States
in 2005 and 2006. In 2007, changes in
U.S.
military strategy helped quell
some of the worst violence, but the war dragged into its fifth and sixth years
under Bush’s watch. |
|
|
3. |
In 2008 the American economy began to
stumble. By fall, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had lost half its total
value in under a year, and major banks, insurance companies, and financial institutions
were on the verge of collapse. The entire automobile industry was near
bankruptcy. Millions of Americans lost their jobs, and the unemployment rate
surged to 10 percent. Housing prices dropped by as much as 40 percent in some
parts of the country, and millions of Americans defaulted on their mortgages.
The
United States
had entered the worst economic recession since the 1930s, what soon became
known as the Great Recession. |
|
|
4. |
The 2008 presidential election took
shape in that perilous context. The Democratic nomination was contested between
the first woman and the first African American to be viable presidential
contenders, Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Hussein Obama. |
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5. |
In a close-fought contest, Obama
emerged by early summer as the nominee. Meanwhile, the Bush administration
confronted an economy in freefall. In September, less than two months before
the election, the secretary of the treasury, Henry Paulson, urged Congress to
pass the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act. Passed in early October, the act
dedicated $700 billion to rescuing many of the nation’s largest banks and
brokerage houses. Between Congress’s actions and the independent efforts of the
Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve, the
U.S.
government invested close to $1
trillion in saving the nation’s financial system. |
|
C. |
The Obama Presidency |
|
|
1. |
Barack Obama took the oath of office of
the presidency on
January
21, 2009, amidst the deepest economic recession since the Great
Depression and with the
United States
mired in two wars in the
Middle East. |
|
|
2. |
From the podium, the new president
recognized the crises and worried about “a nagging fear that
America
’s decline is inevitable.”
But like all presidents at the opening of their term, Obama hoped to strike an
optimistic tone. Americans, he said, must “begin again the work of remaking
America.” |
|
|
3. |
As the first African American president
of the
United States,
the burdens on Obama seemed immense. A nation that a mere two generations ago
would not allow black Americans to dine with white Americans had elected a
black man to the highest office. Obama himself was less taken with this
historic accomplishment—which was also part of his deliberate strategy to
downplay race—than with developing a plan to deal with the nation’s innumerable
challenges, at home and abroad. |
|
|
4. |
With explicit comparisons to Franklin
Roosevelt, Obama used the “first hundred days” to lay out an ambitious agenda:
an economic stimulus package of federal spending to invigorate the economy;
plans to draw down the war in
Iraq
and re-focus American military efforts in
Afghanistan; reform of the nation’s
health-care insurance system; and new federal laws to regulate Wall Street. |
|
|
5. |
In February, Congress passed the
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, an economic stimulus bill that provided
$787 billion to state and local governments for schools, hospitals, and
transportation projects (roads, bridges, and rail). Next, Obama announced his plan to withdraw all
active combat troops from
Iraq
by 2010. In December, the president ordered an additional 30,000 American
troops to
Afghanistan, where
the Taliban had regained control of much of the country and Obama had pledged
renewed
U.S.
efforts. |
|
|
6. |
Obama allowed congressional Democrats
to put forth their own proposals on health-care reform, in an attempt to avoid
the top-down approach taken by President Clinton. As debate dragged on, a
powerful new far-right oppositional group emerged, the Tea Party. None of these
developments derailed the legislation, but when the president signed the final
health-care reform bill on March 24, it contained enough compromises that few
could predict its long-term impact. |
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|
7. |
It remains unclear how the Obama
presidency will affect American politics. The history of his presidency, and of
the early twenty-first century more broadly, continues to unfold. |